| Trend model | |
---|---|---|
 | Stochastic | Deterministic |
In-sample fit (1979-2009) | 2.77 | 3.96 |
 | Stochastic | Deterministic |
Cross validation fit (2010-11) | 2.54 | 1.57 |
 | % of observations within 95% credible intervals of posterior predictions | |
 | Stochastic | Deterministic |
In-sample period | 97.8 | 97.6 |
Cross-validation period | 100.0 | 100.0 |