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Table 3 Duration Fit for S&P500 data

From: A new trivariate model for stochastic episodes

N in days

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 +

Freq.

2444

1406

825

418

205

121

58

33

13

17

Rel. freq.

0.441

0.254

0.149

0.075

0.037

0.022

0.010

0.006

0.002

0.003

Model prob.

0.441

0.263

0.139

0.074

0.039

0.021

0.011

0.006

0.003

0.003

  1. The table contains observed frequency (second row), relative frequency (third row), and model probabilities (last row) for the growth periods of given durations (first row)