# A class of continuous bivariate distributions with linear sum of hazard gradient components

- Jayme Pinto
^{1}Email author and - Nikolai Kolev
^{1}

**3**:10

**DOI: **10.1186/s40488-016-0048-x

© Pinto and Kolev. 2016

**Received: **11 April 2016

**Accepted: **10 May 2016

**Published: **21 May 2016

## Abstract

The main purpose of this article is to characterize a class of bivariate continuous non-negative distributions such that the sum of the components of underlying hazard gradient vector is a linear function of its arguments. It happens that this class is a stronger version of the Sibuya-type bivariate lack of memory property. Such a class is allowed to have only certain marginal distributions and the corresponding restrictions are given in terms of marginal densities and hazard rates. We illustrate the methodology developed by examples, obtaining two extended versions of the bivariate Gumbel’s law.

### Keywords

Bivariate hazard gradient Bivariate lack of memory property Characterization Gumbel’s bivariate exponential Marshall-Olkin model Sibuya’a dependence function### MSC code

Primary: 62H05 60E05## Introduction and motivation

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{1}) via relation

for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}≥0 and *t*>0, where \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2}) = P(X_{1}> x_{1}, X_{2} > x_{2})\) is the joint survival function of non-negative continuous random vector (*X*
_{1},*X*
_{2}). The functional Eq. (1) tells us that, independently of *t*, the *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{1} preserves the distribution of both (*X*
_{1},*X*
_{2}) and its residual lifetime vector **X**
_{
t
}= [(*X*
_{1}−*t,X*
_{2}−*t*) | *X*
_{1}>*t,X*
_{2}>*t*].

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{1}has a joint survival function given by

*λ*

_{ i }≥0,

*i*=1,2,3. The Marshall-Olkin (MO) bivariate exponential distribution (2) is generated by the stochastic representation

where *T*
_{
i
} are independent and exponentially distributed random variables with parameters *λ*
_{
i
}>0, *i*=1,2,3. Unless *λ*
_{3}=0, the distribution (2) exhibits singularity along the line *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2} and its contribution to \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is \(\alpha = P(X_{1}=X_{2}) = \frac {\lambda _{3}}{\lambda _{1}+\lambda _{2}+\lambda _{3}}\), e.g. Marshall and Olkin (1967). Hence, the MO bivariate exponential distribution is not absolutely continuous and does not have a probability density with respect to the two-dimensional Lebesgue measure.

Apart from MO bivariate exponential distribution, other known solutions of (1) are the bivariate distributions obtained by Freund (1961), Block and Basu (1974), Proschan and Sullo (1974), Friday and Patil (1977) and all distributions considered by Kulkarni (2006). Consult Chapter 10 in Balakrishnan and Lai (2009) for a related discussion as well.

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{2}. The authors require conditional distributions {

*X*

_{1}|

*X*

_{2}>

*x*

_{2}} and {

*X*

_{2}|

*X*

_{1}>

*x*

_{1}} to possess (preserve) the univariate lack of memory property. The only absolutely continuous distribution with such a property is the Gumbel’s type I bivariate exponential distribution given by

where *λ*
_{
i
}>0,*i*=1,2 and *θ*∈[0,1], see Gumbel (1960). It is negative quadrant dependent since \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2}) \leq S_{X_{1}}(x_{1})S_{X_{2}}(x_{2})\) for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}≥0.

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{1}and

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{2}alternatively. We will explore the conditional failure (hazard) rates defined by

Marshall (1975) and Johnson and Kotz (1975) interpreted *r*
_{
i
}(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) as the conditional failure rate of *X*
_{
i
} evaluated at *x*
_{
i
} under condition that *X*
_{
j
}>*x*
_{
j
} for *i*=1,2, *i*≠*j*. Equivalently, the conditional hazard rates are the univariate hazard rates of conditional distributions of each variate, given certain inequality of the remainder.

**R**(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2})=(

*r*

_{1}(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}),

*r*

_{2}(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2})) the hazard gradient of the distribution (

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2}). The hazard gradient vector

**R**(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}) (if exists) uniquely determines the bivariate distribution by means of line integral

where \(\mathcal {C}\) is any sufficiently smooth continuous path beginning at (0,0) and terminating at (*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}). Equation (5) holds provided that along the path of integration \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is absolutely continuous and **R**(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) exists for almost all *x*
_{1} and *x*
_{2}, see Marshall (1975). The term “almost all” means that the set where the partial derivative does not exist has insignificant measure in the first quadrant, i.e. has a two-dimensional Lebesgue measure zero. See details and a multivariate version in Marshall (1975).

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{1}are characterized by the equation

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}≥0, where

*a*

_{0}is a non-negative constant, see Theorem 2 in Kulkarni (2006). In particular, the last relation is valid for the MO bivariate exponential distribution (2) with

*a*

_{0}=

*λ*

_{1}+

*λ*

_{2}+

*λ*

_{3}for all

*x*

_{1}≠

*x*

_{2}, since

Thus, the sum *r*
_{1}(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2})+*r*
_{2}(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) is not defined along the line *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2} having a zero two-dimensional Lebesgue measure. The reason is that the conditional probability *P*(*X*
_{
i
}>*x*
_{
i
} | *X*
_{
j
}>*x*
_{
j
}) *i,j*=1,2, *i*≠*j*, experiences a cusp at *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2}, i.e. it is continuous but not differentiable at *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2} and the corresponding failure rate *r*
_{
i
}(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) is not defined, see Singpurwalla (2006), page 99.

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{2}by a local “constancy” of the failure rates

*r*

_{ i }(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}),

*i*=1,2, see their sections 3(iv) and 5.4. For distribution (4) one gets

*r*

_{ i }(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2})=

*λ*

_{ i }+

*a*

_{1}

*x*

_{3−i },

*i*=1,2, where

*a*

_{1}is a non-negative constant. Thus, substituting

*a*

_{0}=

*λ*

_{1}+

*λ*

_{2}and

*a*

_{1}=

*θ*

*λ*

_{1}

*λ*

_{2}, the sum of conditional hazard rates in

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{2}case is specified by

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}≥0.

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{1}and

*B*

*L*

*M*

*P*

_{2}in a new class of bivariate continuous distributions, to be denoted by \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), satisfying relation

for almost all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}≥0, where **x** =(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) and **a** =(*a*
_{0},*a*
_{1},*a*
_{2}) is a parameter vector with non-negative elements, including the possibility *a*
_{1}≠*a*
_{2}.

which has a singular component along the line *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2} and meets (3). One can verify that relation (6) is satisfied by setting *a*
_{0}=*λ*
_{3}>0, *a*
_{1}=2*λ*
_{1}>0 and *a*
_{2}=2*λ*
_{2}>0. The distribution given by (7) belongs to the generalized Marshall-Olkin (GMO) distributions introduced by Li and Pellerey (2011). The random variables *T*
_{1},*T*
_{2} and *T*
_{3} in (3) are assumed to be independent in the class of GMO distributions, relaxing Marshall-Olkin assumption of exponential marginality. It is direct to check that \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2}) \geq S_{X_{1}}(x_{1})S_{X_{2}}(x_{2})\) for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}≥0, i.e. the bivariate distribution in (7) is positive quadrant dependent.

Thus, one can find many examples of bivariate continuous distributions possessing *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{1} and *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{2} represented by (1) and (4), respectively, as well as those exhibiting positive or negative quadrant dependence that belong to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) specified by (6). The class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) is composed of non-negative bivariate distributions which are absolutely continuous or continuous with singularity along the line *L*={*x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2}≥0} such that the sum of the components of underlying hazard gradient is a linear function of both arguments *x*
_{1} and *x*
_{2}.

It happens that the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) (therefore both *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{1} and *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{2}) is a particular case of the Sibuya-type bivariate lack of memory property recently introduced by Pinto and Kolev (2015c) as follows.

###
**Definition**
**1**.

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2}) with marginal survival functions \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}S_{X_{1}}(x_{1})\) and \(S_{X_{2}}(x_{2})\) possesses

*Sibuya-type bivariate lack of memory property*(to be abbreviated S-BLMP), if and only if

for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2},*t*≥0, where \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}S_{\mathbf {X}_{t}}(x_{1}, x_{2})\) is the joint survival function of residual lifetime vector **X**
_{
t
} and \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}S_{X_{it}} (x_{i})\) are its marginal survival functions, *i*=1,2.

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2}) and its residual lifetime vector

**X**

_{ t }should share, for all

*t*≥0, the same dependence function \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}D_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) introduced by Sibuya (1960) as follows

We will refer to \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}D_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) as “Sibuya’a dependence function” hereafter. It exhibits interesting connections with important cases of dependencies, see Kolev (2016) for related facts.

The article is organized as follows. In Section 2 we first discuss the S-BLMP and justify our attention to its stronger version: the linear Sibuya-type BLMP introduced by Pinto (2014), see Definition 2. We show its equivalence with the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) and present characterizations. Naturally, Theorems 1 and 2 are consequences of corresponding statements in Pinto and Kolev (2015c). It will be recognized in Section 3 that only certain marginal distributions of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) are allowed. The corresponding conditions in terms of marginal densities and hazard rates are presented. Restrictions of parameters *a*
_{0},*a*
_{1} and *a*
_{2} are given in Theorem 3 and Proposition 1. As a result, one would be able to generate members of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), some of them being extensions of Gumbel’s law (4), see examples 1A and 3. A discussion and conclusions finalize the paper.

## A stronger version of S-BLMP

**X**

_{ t }are given by

for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2},*t*≥0, where the continuous function \(B(x_{1},x_{2};t) = \frac {S_{X_{1t}} (x_{1}) S_{X_{2t}} (x_{2})}{S_{X_{1}} (x_{1}) S_{X_{2}} (x_{2})}\) is such that *B*(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2};0)=*B*(0,0;*t*)=1. The function *B*(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2};*t*) is named “aging factor”, see page 457 in Balakrishnan and Lai (2009).

Without some simplifying assumptions on *B*(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2};*t*) the class of bivariate distributions possessing S-BLMP is too cumbersome to be of use. General characterizations of the S-BLMP in terms of functional equations involving Sibuya’s dependence function are presented by Pinto and Kolev (2015c), see their Lemma 1 for example.

*B*(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2};

*t*)= exp{−

*a*

_{1}

*x*

_{1}

*t*−

*a*

_{2}

*x*

_{2}

*t*}, where

*a*

_{1}and

*a*

_{2}are given nonnegative constants. One can immediately recognize that in addition to relation (8) in Definition 1 one must assume that

Thus, we arrive to the stronger version of the S-BLMP, i.e. the linear Sibuya-type BLMP introduced by Pinto (2014) as follows.

###
**Definition**
**2**.

The non-negative continuous bivariate distribution (*X*
_{1},*X*
_{2}) possesses *linear Sibuya BLMP* (to be abbreviated LS-BLMP), if and only if (8) and (10) are satisfied for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2},*t*≥0 and *a*
_{
i
}≥0, *i*=1,2.

for all *x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}≥0 and *t*>0. Really, let (11) be true. Put *x*
_{
i
}=0 in (11) to get relations (10), *i*=1,2. Substitute the exponent from (10) into (11) to obtain (8). Conversely, let (8) and (10) be fulfilled. Use expression (10) in the left hand side of (8) to restore (11).

*a*

_{1}

*x*

_{1}

*t*−

*a*

_{2}

*x*

_{2}

*t*} of the “aging factor” in (11), let us consider a system composed by two elements with lifetimes represented by nonnegative continuous random variables

*X*

_{1}and

*X*

_{2}. Suppose that during the first

*t*units of time the system is protected by breakdowns (by warranty or insurance, say). It is reasonable to assume that

*t*< min(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}). After those first

*t*units of time the system can be affected by two independent “fatal shocks” governed by homogeneous Poisson processes. Assume finally that the

*i*-th unit is damaged with intensity

*a*

_{ i }

*t*, i.e. the corresponding shock arrival times are exponentially distributed, to be denoted

*T*

_{ i }∼Exp(

*a*

_{ i }

*t*),

*i*=1,2, see Fig. 1.

Therefore, the probability of the system survival \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1}+t,x_{2}+t)\) is given by (11). Really, the right hand side in (11) is the probability \(S_{X_{1},\, X_{2}}(t, t)\) that both elements survive the protected initial *t* units of time multiplied by \(S_{X_{1},\, X_{2}}(x_{1}, x_{2}) \exp \{-a_{1} x_{1}t - a_{2} x_{2}t\}\), being the probability of absence of shocks during the following *x*
_{
i
} units of time for the *i*-th element, *i*=1,2.

The next characterization theorem gives the joint survival function of bivariate continuous distributions possessing LS-BLMP.

###
**Theorem**
**1**.

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2}) has LS-BLMP defined by (11) for all

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}≥0 and

*t*>0 if and only if \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is a non-degenerate bivariate survival function given by

where *a*
_{0},*a*
_{1},*a*
_{2}≥0 and \(S_{X_{i}}(x_{i})\) are the marginal survival functions, *i*=1,2.

###
*Proof*.

Follows step by step the proof of Theorem 4 in Pinto and Kolev (2015c) with *A*
_{
i
}(*x*)=*a*
_{
i
}
*x*, *i*=1,2.

Theorem 1 tells us that (12) is the solution of the functional Eq. (11).

where *a*
_{0}>0 and the continuous integrable functions *A*
_{
i
}(*x*
_{
i
}) are such that *A*
_{
i
}(0)=0 and *A*
_{
i
}(*x*
_{
i
})>−*a*
_{0} for all *x*
_{
i
}>0, *i*=1,2.

One can deduce that when *B*(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2};*t*)= exp{−*a*
_{1}
*x*
_{1}
*t*−*a*
_{2}
*x*
_{2}
*t*}, then relation (13) transforms into (6), i.e. *A*
_{
i
}(*x*
_{
i
})=*a*
_{
i
}
*x*
_{
i
}, *i*=1,2 and we obtain the \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) class.

**R**(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}) exists everywhere in the interior of the set

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}≥0. If it happens that \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is continuous, its vector hazard gradient

**R**(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}) is useful even when it does not exist everywhere in the interior of the set \(\mathcal {A}\), see Marshall (1975). Because of possible singularity of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) along the line

*L*having zero two-dimensional Lebesgue measure, we will assume hereafter that first partial derivatives of \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) exist and are continuous in \(\mathcal {A} \backslash L\).

The next characterization theorem holds for bivariate continuous distributions belonging to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) whose survival functions possess continuous first partial derivatives, and hence continuous hazard gradient vector **R**(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}), in \(\mathcal {A} \backslash L\).

###
**Theorem**
**2**.

If the first partial derivatives of \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) exist and are continuous in \(\mathcal {A} \backslash L\), then relation (6) is fulfilled if and only if the joint survival function can be represented by (12).

###
*Proof*.

Follows step by step the proof of Theorem 2 in Pinto and Kolev (2015c) with *A*
_{
i
}(*x*)=*a*
_{
i
}
*x*, *i*=1,2.

Observe that if our base relation is (11), then the LS-BLMP can be characterized by the joint survival function specified by (12), without the assumption of existence of hazard gradient vector **R**(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) as in Theorem 2.

Applying the Sklar’s theorem to (12), one can obtain the survival copula corresponding to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), see Pinto and Kolev (2015a).

###
**Remark**
**1**.

*(hazard vector elements in singularity and absolutely continuous cases)*. The bivariate survival functions considered in Theorem 2 are not necessarily absolutely continuous (and therefore not differentiable in \(\mathcal {A}\)). In fact, we do not exclude the possibility of existence of a singular component along the line *L*={*x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2}≥0}, i.e. it may happen that *P*(*X*
_{1}=*X*
_{2})>0. In such a case, when (*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) belongs to the set \(\left \{ (x_{1}, x_{2}) \in \mathbb {R}^{2}_{+} \, | \, x_{1} = x_{2} = x \right \}\) the function \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is not differentiable as well as the hazard gradient vector **R**(*x*
_{1},*x*
_{2}) does not exist. But if in Theorem 2 the continuity of the first partial derivatives of \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) holds true in \(\mathcal {A}\), then \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is absolutely continuous, see page 357 in Apostol (1974).

*degenerate*(i.e. has degenerate marginal distributions), from (12) we get

Obviously, \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}^{de}(x_{1},x_{2})\) does not have differentiable failure rates.

*X*

_{ i },

*i*=1,2. The independence between

*X*

_{1}and

*X*

_{2}implies that \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}r_{i}(x_{1},x_{2}) = r_{X_{i}}(x_{i}), \; i=1,2\). Therefore, relation (6) transforms into

*α*

_{1}∈ [0,

*a*

_{0}] and

*α*

_{2}=

*a*

_{0}−

*α*

_{1}. Thus, we obtain the following result.

###
**Corollary**
**1**.

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2}) with independent marginals belongs the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) if and only if the marginal survival functions \(S_{X_{i}}(x_{i})\) have one of the following three possible analytic forms

*α*

_{1}+

*α*

_{2}=

*a*

_{0}with

*α*

_{1}∈[0,

*a*

_{0}] and

*a*

_{ i }≥0,

*i*=1,2.

Therefore, the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) has only 9 members with independent marginals. It is interesting to note that if *S*
_{
X
}(*x*)= exp{−*α*
*x*
_{
i
}−0.5*a*
*x*
^{2}}, (see the third option in Corollary 1), then *X* has a linear failure rate *r*
_{
X
}(*x*)=*α*
_{1}+*a*
*x*. These type of univariate distributions have been introduced by Kodlin (1967), see Sen (2006) as well. Additionally, since the two first analytic forms in Corollary 1 can be included in the third one (taking *a*
_{
i
}=0 or *α*
_{
i
}=0), the members of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) with independent marginals can also be seen as an extension of the (univariate) linear hazard rate model to the bivariate setup.

Let us note that the bivariate linear failure distribution introduced by Hangal and Ahmadi (2011) belongs to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\).

*G*

_{ i }(

*x*

_{ i })=

*a*

_{ i }

*x*

_{ i }satisfy the functional equation

Therefore, *G*
_{
i
}(*x*), *i*=1,2, are additive functionals and only continuous solutions of Cauchy functional equation *f*(*x*+*y*)=*f*(*x*)+*f*(*y*), see Theorem 1.1 in Sahoo and Kannappan (2011). In fact, we proved the following statement.

###
**Lemma**
**1**.

The class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) of non-negative bivariate continuous distributions specified by relation (6) can be equivalently defined by linear (additive) functionals *G*
_{1}(*x*
_{1})=*r*(*x*
_{1},0)−*a*
_{0} and *G*
_{2}(*x*
_{2})=*r*(0,*x*
_{2})−*a*
_{0}, being the only continuous solutions of the Cauchy functional equation *f*(*x*+*y*)=*f*(*x*)+*f*(*y*).

## Restrictions on the marginal densities or failure rates

Theorem 2 characterizes bivariate continuous distributions belonging to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), i.e. having joint survival function \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) specified by relation (12), which imply some more restrictions on the margins of these distributions. In other words, the corresponding joint survival function is valid only for certain marginal distributions of *X*
_{1} and *X*
_{2}.

Here we will obtain the associated constraints in terms of marginal densities and hazard rates. As a result, we will get the admissible values of the parameter vector **a** =(*a*
_{0},*a*
_{1},*a*
_{2}). The methodology will be illustrated by several typical examples.

### 3.1 Marginal density restrictions

The next statement shows the corresponding parameter constraints in terms of marginal densities when *a*
_{1}+*a*
_{2}>0. The case *a*
_{1}=*a*
_{2}=0, e.g. the *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{1}, is detailed studied by Kulkarni (2006).

###
**Theorem**
**3**.

*X*

_{ i }be a random variable with absolutely continuous density \(f_{X_{i}}(x_{i}), \; i = 1,2.\) Let

*a*

_{0},

*a*

_{1},

*a*

_{2}≥0 and

*a*

_{1}+

*a*

_{2}>0. Then \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) in (12) is a proper bivariate survival function if and only if

*A*(

*x*

_{ i },

*x*

_{ j })=

*a*

_{0}+

*a*

_{ i }

*x*

_{ i }+(

*a*

_{ j }−

*a*

_{ i })

*x*

_{ j }for all

*x*

_{ i }≥

*x*

_{ j }≥0,

*i*≠

*j*,

*i,j*=1,2. The singularity contribution into the joint survival function is given by

where \(Erf (x) = \frac {2}{\sqrt {\pi }} {\int _{0}^{x}} \exp \{ -t^{2}\} dt\). In addition, the survival function specified by (12) is absolutely continuous if and only if \(f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0) = a_{0}\).

###
*Proof*.

After some algebra the last condition transforms into inequality (14).

*x*

_{1}=

*x*

_{2}, then

*α*=

*P*(

*X*

_{1}=

*X*

_{2})∈ [0,1]. The bivariate survival function \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) in (12) will be proper if and only if both the absolutely continuous part \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}^{ac}(x_{1},x_{2})\) and the singular part \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}^{si}(x_{1},x_{2})\) are survival functions and

*α*∈ [ 0,1]. An equivalent expression in terms of joint densities is given by

*α*which is equivalent to impose that 1−

*α*=

*P*(

*X*

_{1}>

*X*

_{2})+

*P*(

*X*

_{2}>

*X*

_{1})∈[0,1], so one has to calculate the probabilities in the last sum. We have

*c*and

*d*:

*d*=

*a*

_{0}we obtain from (16)

From the last expressions and (16) we arrive to (15). To conclude the proof, observe that \(S_{X_{1},\,X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) in (12) is absolutely continuous if and only if *α*=0, which is equivalent to required condition \(f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0) = a_{0}\).

*a*

_{0}=

*u*>0, then it is also satisfied for all

*a*

_{0}≥

*u*. Denote by

Depending on the marginal densities, it may happen in some special cases that \(\tau > f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0)\), which contradicts (15) since always *α*=*P*(*X*
_{1}=*X*
_{2})≥0, i.e. \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}a_{0} \leq f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0)\). Such high *τ*-values would be outside of the parameter space \(\mathcal {A}\) of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\).

The range of possible values of *a*
_{0} are shown in Proposition 1. It is crucial for the construction of proper bivariate survival functions belonging to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) from pre-specified marginal densities as we will see later.

###
**Proposition**
**1**.

then Theorem 3 is fulfilled.

###
*Proof*.

In the absence of singularity (whenever *α*=*P*(*X*
_{1}=*X*
_{2})=0), one concludes from (15) that \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0) - a_{0} = 0\). Therefore, always \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}a_{0} \leq f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0),\) which is the upper bound for *a*
_{0} in (17).

*α*=

*P*(

*X*

_{1}=

*X*

_{2}) up to 1. Let us denote by

*E*(

*a*

_{0},

*a*

_{1},

*a*

_{2})≤1. We may represent (16) as

The right hand side of the last equation is non-negative if \(f_{X_{1}}(0) \leq a_{0}.\) By analogy, from the expression for *P*(*X*
_{2}>*X*
_{1}) we obtain \(f_{X_{2}}(0) \leq a_{0}\).

Notice that if \(a_{0} \in [\max \{f_{X_{1}}(0), f_{X_{2}}(0)\}, f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0)] \) then *α*∈[0,1]. Finally, the lower bound in (17) can be obtained by taking into account the restriction on *a*
_{0} imposed by inequality (14) and possible related *τ*−values.

###
**Remark**
**2**.

*(absolutely continuous rule).* Observe that whenever the upper bound *a*
_{
U
} for *a*
_{0} given by (17) is attainable, i.e. if \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}a_{U} = a_{0} = f_{X_{1}}(0) + f_{X_{2}}(0),\) one obtains an absolutely continuous bivariate distribution for which (6) is valid. Therefore, Eq. (15), besides representing the constraint *a*
_{1}+*a*
_{2}>0, also offers a way to identify the presence of singularity.

For absolutely continuous distributions belonging to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), it may happen that the lower and upper bound in (17) coincide, being even zero when \( f_{X_{1}}(0) = f_{X_{2}}(0) = 0\), or equivalently, when \(r_{X_{1}}(0) = r_{X_{2}}(0) = 0\), indicating that *a*
_{0}=0. For example, consider a joint distribution given by \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2}) = \exp \{-0.5a_{1} {x_{1}^{2}} -0.5a_{2} {x_{2}^{2}}\}\). Observe that both \( f_{X_{1}}(0) = f_{X_{2}}(0) = 0\) implying *a*
_{0}=0 and *α*=*P*(*X*
_{1}=*X*
_{2})=0. This special absolutely continuous bivariate distribution with independent marginals case may be treated as an “exception”, compare with Corollary 1.

Finally, note that all members of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) with independent marginals are absolutely continuous.

###
**Remark**
**3**.

*(singularity of the BLMP*
_{1}
* models).* In the particular case *a*
_{1}=*a*
_{2}=0, the condition (14) transforms into inequality (ii) of Theorem 5.1 in Marshall and Olkin (1967). In addition, the possible interval values of *a*
_{0} in (17) are compatible with those given by Kulkarni (2006) in her Remark 1.

###
**Remark**
**4**.

*(singularity of the GMO models).*Let us consider the joint survival function of (

*Y*

_{1},

*Y*

_{2}) belonging to the class of GMO distributions and represented by (7), with

*a*

_{ i }=2

*λ*

_{ i },

*i*=1,2, and

*λ*

_{3}=

*a*

_{0}. It is direct to check that

Observe that the right hand side in the last equation is just the function *E*(*a*
_{0},*a*
_{1},*a*
_{2}) used in the proof of Proposition 1.

*x*

_{1},

*y*

_{1}) and (

*x*

_{2},

*y*

_{2}) in \(\mathbb {R}^{2}_{+}\) such that

*x*

_{1}≤

*x*

_{2}and

*y*

_{1}≤

*y*

_{2}. For example, if

*x*

_{1}≤

*x*

_{2}≤

*y*

_{1}≤

*y*

_{2}and

*a*

_{2}=0 we conclude from (12) that the last inequality regarding the joint survival function is equivalent to

In general, such constraints between marginal survival functions are not easily verified. Relations (14) and (15) in Theorem 3 give alternative conditions in terms of absolutely continuous marginal densities \(f_{X_{i}} (x), i = 1,2\). However, depending on the complexity of the analytical form of the densities involved, it may be difficult to check these restrictions.

### 3.2 Marginal failure rates restrictions

The next result offers another set of equivalent constraints for parameters of \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\), but in terms of marginal failure rates \(r_{X_{i}}(x), \; i = 1,2\).

###
**Theorem**
**4**.

*a*

_{0},

*a*

_{1}and

*a*

_{2}, with

*a*

_{1}+

*a*

_{2}>0, the following relations hold

*A*(

*x*

_{ i },

*x*

_{ j })=

*a*

_{0}+

*a*

_{ i }

*x*

_{ i }+(

*a*

_{ j }−

*a*

_{ i })

*x*

_{ j }, for

*x*

_{ i }≥

*x*

_{ j }≥0,

*i,j*=1,2,

*i*≠

*j*;

where *τ* denotes the greatest lower bound of the set of values of *a*
_{0} for which the inequality (18b) is satisfied.

Then the joint survival function \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) given by (12) is proper with marginals \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}S_{X_{i}}(x_{i}) = \exp \left (- \int _{0}^{x_{i}} r_{X_{i}} (u) du \right), x_{i} \geq 0, i=1,2.\) The joint distribution is absolutely continuous if and only if \(\phantom {\dot {i}\!}a_{0} = r_{X_{1}}(0) + r_{X_{2}}(0)\), otherwise it possesses a singular component.

###
*Proof*.

*i*=1,2. Suppose that

*x*

_{2}≥

*x*

_{1}≥0. Then substituting

*x*

_{1}=0 in

*x*

_{1}≥

*x*

_{2}≥0 and (18a) is established.

All other relations are consequence of Theorem 3.

Conditions (18a), (18b) and (18c) in Theorem 4 imply several simple practical steps that help to fix the permissible parameter space of coefficients *a*
_{0},*a*
_{1} and *a*
_{2} in \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\). We discuss them in the next remark.

###
**Remark**
**5**.

*(parameter space of the class *
\(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\)
*).* Inequality (18a) says that the bivariate distributions from the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) satisfying (6) cannot have marginal distributions with failure rates \(r_{X_{i}}(x_{i})\) above the line *a*
_{0}+*a*
_{
i
}
*x*
_{
i
} for *i*=1,2. For example, distributions with univariate failure rate of the form \(a {x_{i}^{2}},\) for *a*>0 are unable to meet (6).

In addition, since \(r_{X_{i}}(.)\) is a failure rate, then \(\int _{0}^{\infty } r_{X_{i}}(u) du = \infty \) and because of (18a) the support of *X*
_{
i
},*i*=1,2, cannot be bounded from above, i.e. has to be the entire half line [0,*∞*).

*a*

_{0},

*a*

_{1}and

*a*

_{2}satisfying (6) in terms of marginal failure rates is given by

*i*=1,2. Finally, note that admissible values for coefficients

*a*

_{1}and

*a*

_{2}may be further limited as a consequence of inequality (18b) from Theorem 4, see Example 2.

The converse of Theorem 4 also holds for non-degenerate distributions and the statement is given below.

###
**Proposition**
**2**.

If \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1},x_{2})\) is non-degenerate bivariate survival function given by Eq. (12) and has differentiable marginal failure rates then it must satisfy conditions (18a) to (18c) in Theorem 4.

###
*Proof*.

Follows step by step the proof of Proposition 1 in Kulkarni (2006).

The rules established in Theorem 4 may serve as a useful guide for constructing bivariate distributions possessing property (6). The building scheme may be relaxed under additional available information regarding monotone behavior of marginal failure rates. In fact, the class of bivariate distributions \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) may have arbitrary combination of marginal failure rates: increasing, decreasing, constant, bathtub, etc., implying corresponding restrictions for the parameter space, of course.

### 3.3 Examples

The next two examples illustrate how relations in Theorem 4 can be applied to construct bivariate distributions from \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) with given marginal failure rates.

###
**Example**
**1**.

*(constant failure rate marginals).*Assume that

Then \(f_{X_{i}}(x) = \lambda _{i} \exp \{- \lambda _{i} x \}\), \(r_{X_{i}}(x) = \lambda _{i}\) and \(f_{X_{i}}(0) = r_{X_{i}}(0) = \lambda _{i}, \; i = 1,2.\) From (18c) we obtain the first restriction: max(*λ*
_{1},*λ*
_{2})≤*a*
_{0}≤*λ*
_{1}+*λ*
_{2}.

*x*

_{1}≥

*x*

_{2}. Since

*a*

_{1}≥0, inequality (18b) transforms into

*x*

_{1}≥

*x*

_{2}≥0. The function (

*λ*

_{1}+

*a*

_{1}

*x*

_{2})[

*a*

_{0}−

*λ*

_{1}+

*a*

_{1}(

*x*

_{1}−

*x*

_{2})+

*a*

_{2}

*x*

_{2}] is non-decreasing and its minimum is equal to

*λ*

_{1}(

*a*

_{0}−

*λ*

_{1}) when

*x*

_{1}=

*x*

_{2}=0. Therefore, 0≤

*a*

_{1}≤

*λ*

_{1}(

*a*

_{0}−

*λ*

_{1}).

To find the greatest lower bound *τ* for which condition (18c) in Theorem 4 is true, is equivalent to verify when \(\lambda _{2} (a_{0} - \lambda _{2}) + \lambda _{2} a_{0} a_{1} x_{2} + \lambda _{2} a_{0} a_{1} {x_{2}^{2}} \geq 0.\) The last inequality is satisfied when *a*
_{0}≥*λ*
_{2}. But we got this lower bound for *a*
_{0} already.

Analogously, when *x*
_{2}≥*x*
_{1} we obtain 0≤*a*
_{2}≤*λ*
_{2}(*a*
_{0}−*λ*
_{2}).

We will consider two possible cases:

**1A.**The bivariate survival function will be absolutely continuous if

*a*

_{0}=

*λ*

_{1}+

*λ*

_{2}. Hence,

*a*

_{ i }=

*θ*

_{ i }

*λ*

_{1}

*λ*

_{2}for

*θ*

_{ i }∈(0,1],

*i*=1,2. With these specific parameters we get from (12) the representation

which may be named *Generalized Gumbel’s bivariate exponential distribution*.

Observe, that fixing *θ*
_{1}=*θ*
_{2}=*θ* in the last relation we obtain as a particular case the Gumbel’s type I bivariate exponential distribution (4).

**1B.**A bivariate survival function with absolutely continuous and singular components can also be constructed when

*a*

_{0}<

*λ*

_{1}+

*λ*

_{2}. Suppose

*λ*

_{1}>

*λ*

_{2}and let

*a*

_{0}=

*λ*

_{1}. Notice that with this parameter choice the restrictions in (18c) are fulfilled. Hence we obtain

*a*

_{1}=0 and

*a*

_{2}=

*θ*

*λ*

_{2}(

*λ*

_{1}−

*λ*

_{2}), where

*θ*∈(0,1]. Substituting these parameter values in (12) we get

In what follows, we will build a bivariate distribution with increasing marginal failure rates.

###
**Example**
**2**.

*(increasing failure rate marginals).*Consider

Since \(f_{X_{i}}(x) = (2 \lambda _{i} x + \lambda _{3}) \exp \left \{ - \lambda _{i} x^{2} - \lambda _{3} x \right \},\) then \(r_{X_{i}}(x) = 2 \lambda _{i} x + \lambda _{3}, i=1,2,\) and the marginals have increasing failure rate. First limitations on the parameter space come from inequalities (18a) and (18c), i.e. *a*
_{0}≥*λ*
_{3} and *a*
_{
i
}≥2*λ*
_{
i
}, *i*=1,2.

*x*

_{1}≥

*x*

_{2}≥0, from (18b) we get a nonnegative increasing in

*x*

_{1}and

*x*

_{2}function

*a*

_{1}≤2

*λ*

_{1}+

*λ*

_{3}(

*a*

_{0}−

*λ*

_{3}).

Analogously, for *x*
_{1}≥*x*
_{2}≥0, we get 2*λ*
_{2}≤*a*
_{2}≤2*λ*
_{2}+*λ*
_{3}(*a*
_{0}−*λ*
_{3}).

**2A.**If

*a*

_{0}=2

*λ*

_{3}we obtain an absolutely continuous bivariate survival function. In this case \(a_{i} = 2 \lambda _{i} + \theta _{i} {\lambda _{3}^{2}}, \theta _{i} \in \, [0,1], i=1,2\) and letting these values in (12) one gets

Observe that the expression of the joint survival function involves a complete second degree polynomial in the exponent. In addition, notice that *θ*
_{1}=*θ*
_{2}=0 implies independence between *X*
_{1} and *X*
_{2}.

**2B.**A bivariate survival function having absolutely continuous and singular component can also be captured substituting

*θ*

_{0}=0 in the corresponding expression to get relation (7), i.e the distribution from the class of GMO distributions, see Li and Pellerey (2011).

###
**Example**
**3**.

*(“min” operation based construction).*Let the survival function of the bivariate random vector (

*Y*

_{1},

*Y*

_{2}) follow Gumbel’s type I bivariate exponential distribution given by (4) which is a member of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\). Assume that

*Y*

_{3}∼

*E*

*x*

*p*(

*λ*

_{3}) is independent of (

*Y*

_{1},

*Y*

_{2}). Therefore, (

*X*

_{1},

*X*

_{2})=[ min(

*Y*

_{1},

*Y*

_{3}), min(

*Y*

_{2},

*Y*

_{3})] belongs to \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) as well and its survival function is given by

Notice that \(S_{Y_{1}, Y_{2}}(x_{1}, x_{2})\) is absolutely continuous, but \(S_{X_{1},X_{2}}(x_{1}, x_{2})\) displays a singular component along the line *x*
_{1}=*x*
_{2}. The expression (20) is given by Pinto and Kolev (2015c) in their Example 1.

*r*

_{1}(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}) and

*r*

_{2}(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2}) in a very similar fashion as Gumbel’s bivariate distribution (4) does, i.e.

*r*

_{ i }(

*x*

_{1},

*x*

_{2})=

*λ*

_{ i }+

*a*

_{1}

*x*

_{3−i },

*i*=1,2,. The hazard components of (20) are given by

*i*=1,2. Therefore, we may consider (20) as a

*Gumbel’s extended bivariate exponential distribution with a singularity*along the line

*x*

_{1}=

*x*

_{2}. Substituting

*λ*

_{3}=0 in (20), one will get absolutely continuous Gumbel’s version (4).

###
**Remark**
**6**.

*(expanding Gumbel’s bivariate law).* The construction in Example 3 incorporates a singular component into the resulting distribution, which belongs to a wider class of Extended Marshall Olkin (EMO) bivariate distributions introduced by Pinto and Kolev (2015b). In fact, we assume that *T*
_{1} and *T*
_{2} are dependent random variables, but independent of *T*
_{3} in stochastic representation (3). Particular members of the EMO-class are the MO bivariate exponential distribution satisfying (3) and the GMO distributions (remind that the joint distribution given by (7) is member of the GMO-class).

## Discussion and conclusions

Thus, the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) might be treated as a key tool to deepen the BLMP-notion giving possibility to model the aging phenomena in the complement to the “non-aging” one, which fixes the world on Eqs. (1) or (4), via *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{1} and *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{2} correspondingly. Our new base equations are (6) or (11). We are convinced that the class introduced is promising in modeling dynamic aging dependence, being much more realistic than the virtual “non-aging world”. The class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\) includes symmetric and asymmetric continuous distributions with possible singularity; those which are positive or negative quadrant dependent; distributions from the GMO and EMO classes, etc. This huge variety of bivariate distributions would help to choose the “right” model consistent with the physical nature of the observations. The selection of bivariate distribution to be used should depend on considerations involving both the physical scenario at hand, and the properties of chosen distribution.

The seminal Gumbel’s type I bivariate exponential distribution given by (4) has a central place in probability theory, being object of many characterization results. To count several of them, it is: the only absolutely continuous bivariate distribution possessing *B*
*L*
*M*
*P*
_{2}; belongs to the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\); a key bivariate extreme value distribution, etc. We got two extensions of the Gumbel’s type I distribution: one being absolutely continuous and the other having a singular component, represented by (19) and (20) respectively, consult Remark 6 as well. We do believe that further characterizations based on those relations will elevate the generalized Gumbel’s laws as a starting point and a base for obtaining new bivariate models, with higher flexibility and chances to better model the genuine dependence structure.

We did not consider in this article inference procedures related to the model (6), nor its application for real data set. But, in Pinto and Kolev (2015b) we perform a Bayesian analysis using the EMO distribution (20) (being a member of the class \(\mathcal {L}(\mathbf {x};\mathbf {a})\)) for a soccer data with ties studied by Meintanis (2007) and many other authors. According to the Deviance Information Criterion, our model (20) presented better fit than the Marshall-Olkin bivariate Weibull distribution, recently introduced by Kundu and Gupta (2013), who analyzed the same data set.

In general, one may use techniques for estimation of bivariate density function with partially differentiable kernels, e.g. Scott (1992). Another option is to apply the Kaplan-Meier estimate of bivariate survival function, even in the case of censoring following Dabrowska (1988), for example. Once the model is selected, goodness of the fit can be tested with conventional methods.

## Declarations

### Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to the Editors and the referees for their suggestions which helped to improve this article. The first author is grateful for the support of the Central Bank of Brazil. The second author is partially supported by FAPESP (2013/07375-0) and TUBITAK grants.

**Open Access** This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

## Authors’ Affiliations

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